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18,000 Deaths From Lack of Insurance?

Someone on boards.ie has referenced this page to debunk the 18,000 claim.

I was hoping that you would have done some better research instead of just pointing out flaws in their working assumptions.

Given that you're very clever and have access to the same research papers as the authors, can you could up with a more accurate number of deaths related to having insurance or not?

Can you make better assumptions and work them through?
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